This is the eighth in a series of category predictions using our Amazon Sales Forecast Dashboard.

What is the forecasted growth for the Patio, Lawn & Garden category on Amazon US through 2024? How should brands in this category prepare their growth strategies? Over the next few months, we will be estimating specific categories’ 2024 revenue using our latest free tool, the Amazon Sales Forecast Dashboard.

Patio, Lawn & Garden

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1. What is the projected growth for the Patio, Lawn & Garden category on Amazon US for 2024?
   • The Patio, Lawn & Garden category is forecasted to reach $30.7B in 2024 sales, up 14.4% year-over-year. 
2. How does the growth forecast for the Patio, Lawn & Garden category compare to Amazon’s overall growth trajectory?
   • Amazon is forecasted to grow 19.9% in 2024, whereas Patio, Lawn & Garden is forecasted to grow 14.4% placing it slightly behind the overall site’s pace. 
3. What quarter will generate the highest Patio, Lawn & Garden category revenue?
   • Q2 is on track to bring in $11.1B, or roughly 36% of the forecasted revenue for the year. This is the first in the series where Q2 is forecasted to be the biggest revenue driver for a given category, however, this category does have a seasonal element. 
4. What month will generate the highest Patio, Lawn & Garden category revenue?
   • May is predicted to bring in $4B in the category. 
5. What month is projected to see the highest year-over-year growth for the category?
   • April is forecasted to have the most significant spike of +20.1% YoY.

Patio, Lawn & Garden > Patio Furniture & Accessories

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1. What is the projected growth for the Patio Furniture & Accessories subcategory on Amazon US throughout 2024?
   • The Patio Furniture & Accessories subcategory is forecasted to reach $4.8B in 2024 sales, up 16.1% YoY. 
2. What is the forecasted pace of growth for the Patio Furniture & Accessories subcategory compared to the overall growth of Patio, Lawn & Garden?
   • The subcategory’s 16.1% YoY growth is pacing slightly ahead of the 14.4% growth projected across the Patio, Lawn & Garden category as a whole. 
3. What quarter is forecasted to generate the highest revenue for the subcategory?
   • Similar to its parent category, Q2 is forecasted to be the highest sales quarter with an estimated $2B in revenue.
4. What month is forecasted to generate the highest revenue for the Patio Furniture & Accessories subcategory?
   • May is projected to be the biggest month, driving $746.2M in sales.
5. Which month is projected to experience the most significant year-over-year growth for the subcategory?
   • December is projected to be the month with the most significant growth, at 31% YoY.

Patio, Lawn & Garden > Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies

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1. What is the projected growth for the Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies subcategory on Amazon US throughout 2024?
   • The Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies subcategory is forecasted to reach $4.1B in 2024 sales, up 11.8% YoY. 
2. What is the forecasted pace of growth for Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies compared to the overall growth of Patio, Lawn & Garden?
   • The subcategory is pacing to grow 11.8% YoY, while the overall category is projected to grow 14.4% YoY.
3. What quarter is forecasted to generate the highest revenue for the Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies subcategory?
   • Q2 sales are estimated to be the highest at $1.7B. 
4. What month is forecasted to generate the highest revenue for the Pools, Hot Tubs & Supplies subcategory?
   • June will be the highest revenue-driving month for this subcategory, with an estimated $650.2M in sales. 
5. Which month is projected to experience the most significant year-over-year growth for the subcategory?
   • January is forecasted to see the most significant growth YoY at 26.3%. 

Methodology

All forecasted sales figures are accessible through Momentum Commerce’s new Amazon Sales Forecast Dashboard. This free tool provides monthly Amazon US retail sales forecasts across hundreds of Amazon categories through the end of 2024. Revenue forecasts across thousands of deeper subcategory levels are available to Momentum Commerce’s services team and customers to further empower strategic direction and decision-making.

The forecasts and estimates within the Amazon Sales Forecast Dashboard are based on Momentum Commerce’s proprietary analysis and modeling, which incorporates multiple sources of Amazon US retail revenue data. Momentum Commerce regularly re-evaluates both the underlying data and models to ensure forecasts reflect seasonality, changes in observed revenue, and other factors.

Do you have questions? Reach out to us at hello@momentumcommerce.com